Comments on: Michael of Discourse.net on the Coming Kerry Landslide http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/ believe nothing... Mon, 08 Sep 2008 17:58:19 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.1 By: John Callender http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5490 John Callender Thu, 05 Aug 2004 04:49:36 +0000 http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5490 Well, that's the same thing as saying "neither," isn't it? Well, that’s the same thing as saying “neither,” isn’t it?

]]> By: Sean http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5488 Sean Thu, 05 Aug 2004 02:34:14 +0000 http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5488 "...either the data clearly show an oncoming Bush landslide, an oncoming Kerry landslide, or neither." Not true. There's no way to predict complex results based on information from samplings. It's like the weather. There's far too much chaos involved from the small, local areas to be able to predict with any accuracy what the overall effect will be. So you CAN have the same data interpreted in two completely opposite directions at once. “…either the data clearly show an oncoming Bush landslide, an oncoming Kerry landslide, or neither.”

Not true. There’s no way to predict complex results based on information from samplings. It’s like the weather. There’s far too much chaos involved from the small, local areas to be able to predict with any accuracy what the overall effect will be. So you CAN have the same data interpreted in two completely opposite directions at once.

]]> By: AnoCan http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5479 AnoCan Wed, 04 Aug 2004 13:21:57 +0000 http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5479 But don't forget the Big Bush Wild Card: just happening to find Osama Bin Laden right before the election. Think it won't happen? Think again. But don’t forget the Big Bush Wild Card: just happening to find Osama Bin Laden right before the election.

Think it won’t happen? Think again.

]]> By: thomas http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5449 thomas Mon, 02 Aug 2004 19:24:16 +0000 http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5449 I have to agree with Rick. The worse things look for bushco. the greater the chance of something spectacular happening. Terrorist attack (nudge-wink), terrorist caught (say no more), suspended elections, preemptive strike against Islamostan. I really expect Bush to pop an o-ring and say something really stupid in one of the debates. Something he won't be able to shake. I heard him speak to a crowd last weekend and the dude is loosing it. I have to agree with Rick. The worse things look for bushco. the greater the chance of something spectacular happening. Terrorist attack (nudge-wink), terrorist caught (say no more), suspended elections, preemptive strike against Islamostan. I really expect Bush to pop an o-ring and say something really stupid in one of the debates. Something he won’t be able to shake. I heard him speak to a crowd last weekend and the dude is loosing it.

]]> By: rick pietz http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5446 rick pietz Mon, 02 Aug 2004 18:08:09 +0000 http://www.lies.com/wp/2004/08/02/michael-of-discoursenet-on-the-coming-kerry-landslide/#comment-5446 I think your analysis is probably right. I don't think it will be the squeeker that the 2000 election was, and I think too many people are disenchanted w/ Bush. On the other hand, I think your analysis only holds true barring the success of that much anticipated October surprise. If one actually does occur, I think all bets are off, and the outcome will depend on the media coverage at the time. I think your analysis is probably right. I don’t think it will be the squeeker that the 2000 election was, and I think too many people are disenchanted w/ Bush. On the other hand, I think your analysis only holds true barring the success of that much anticipated October surprise. If one actually does occur, I think all bets are off, and the outcome will depend on the media coverage at the time.

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